Wildfire hazard modeling using BurnP3+
This two and a half day, in-person course provides a foundation for developing and running spatially-explicit wildfire hazard models using the BurnP3+ package for SyncroSim. The course covers wildfire simulation modeling concepts, how to use BurnP3+ to create models of ignitions, burning conditions and fire growth to explore wildfire hazard across a landscape, and how to interpret and share model results. Examples of BurnP3+ simulations using a variety of fire growth models (Cell2Fire, Prometheus, and FireSTARR) under a range of environmental conditions will be presented.
Course Start: April 14, 2025 @ 8:30am ET
Course End: April 16, 2025 @ 12:30pm ET
Location: York University, Toronto, ON
Instructors: Leonardo Frid (ApexRMS), Colin Daniel (ApexRMS), and Denyse Dawe (Canadian Forest Service)
Audience
This course is designed for those who are new to BurnP3+ and would like to increase their understanding of wildfire burn probability and hazard modeling. This includes those who have been introduced to wildfire models through various workshops or projects, but now wish to build and run models themselves. The course is computer-exercise based, fast-paced, and delves into advanced modeling topics. Although no software knowledge is required to participate, an introductory understanding of the R programming language is recommended.
Learning Objectives
Burn probability modeling concepts, as they have been applied to estimates of wildfire hazard across a landscape
How to create and run a burn probability simulation model in BurnP3+, and how to interpret model results
How to obtain and prepare data required to run BurnP3+
Approaches for incorporating uncertainty and variability into burn probability simulation models
How to use alternative scenarios to compare model outcomes given varying fire growth models, management strategies, and weather data
How to run BurnP3+ using the R programming language
Topics Covered
Theory behind burn probability simulation models
Building reproducible BurnP3+ models: configuring model inputs, such as weather and fuel data, and partitioning analyses using pipelines and dependencies in SyncroSim
Running BurnP3+ models: comparing alternative scenarios, viewing model output, and exporting results
Publishing BurnP3+ model outputs: visualizing and sharing model results using SyncroSim Cloud
Introduction to scripting workflows with BurnP3+ in R using the rsyncrosim package
What’s Included
20 hours of instruction and support from knowledgeable instructors over 2.5 days
Introduction to BurnP3+ training manual and exercises
Morning and afternoon coffee/snacks (lunch is not provided)
Sign-Up
Early-Bird (before March 1, 2026)
Student/postdoc: $845 CAD
Regular: $1690 CAD
Standard
Student/postdoc: $945 CAD
Regular: $1890 CAD
Registration changes: You can transfer your ticket(s) to another person by responding to the confirmation email or contacting training@apexrms.com. Transfers are possible without any additional charge up until April 7th, 2026.
Cancellation policy: You can cancel your registration for a $50 processing fee on or before March 14th, 2026 to receive a refund. If you need to cancel, contact us at training@apexrms.com.
*The number of student and postdoc seats available is limited.
